Pengaruh Harga Minyak Dunia dan Belanja Infrastruktur terhadap Keseimbangan Anggaran Pemerintah Indonesia 2015-2024

  • Primasari Fitria * Mail Universitas Muhammadiyah Palembang, Indonesia
  • Ayu Geby Gisela Syaputri Universitas Muhammadiyah Palembang, Indonesia
  • Muhammad Bahrul Ulum Universitas Sriwijaya Palembang, Indonesia
Keywords: World Oil Prices; Infrastructure Spending; Balanced Budget; Budget Deficit; Budget Surplus

Abstract

This study aims to examine the extent to which World Oil Prices and Infrastructure Spending influence Indonesia's Budget Balance in 2015-2024. The data used in this study are secondary data from 2015-2024. The analysis method used is multiple linear regression analysis. The analysis results indicate that crude oil prices and infrastructure expenditure simultaneously have a significant effect on the Budget Balance, with an F-value of 5.720 and a significance level of 0.013 < 0.015. Partially, infrastructure expenditure has a significant impact on the state budget deficit, with a coefficient of β = 0.456 and p < 0.05, whereas crude oil prices do not have a significant effect (β = -0.106, p = 0.28). This is due to fluctuations in crude oil prices that do not always align with the continuously increasing trend of the state budget deficit each year. Infrastructure expenditure plays a crucial role in supporting economic growth, prompting the government to increase capital spending for development.

Author Biographies

Primasari Fitria, Universitas Muhammadiyah Palembang
Fakultas Ekonomi Dan Bisnis
Ayu Geby Gisela Syaputri, Universitas Muhammadiyah Palembang

Fakultas Ekonomi Dan Bisnis

Muhammad Bahrul Ulum, Universitas Sriwijaya Palembang

Fakultas Ekonomi

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Published
2025-09-03
How to Cite
Primasari Fitria, Syaputri, A. G. G. and Muhammad Bahrul Ulum (2025) “Pengaruh Harga Minyak Dunia dan Belanja Infrastruktur terhadap Keseimbangan Anggaran Pemerintah Indonesia 2015-2024”, Jurnal Akutansi Manajemen Ekonomi Kewirausahaan (JAMEK), 5(3), pp. 636-644. doi: 10.47065/jamek.v3i1.2214.