Analisis Pengaruh PDRB dan Kunjungan Wisatawan Terhadap PAD (Periode 2011-2024)
-
Airul Syahrif
*
Universitas Negeri Makassar, Makassar,
Indonesia
- Selly Kudrati Ningsih Universitas Negeri Makassar, Makassar, Indonesia
Abstract
This study analyzes the influence of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) and tourist arrivals on Local Own-Source Revenue of Makassar City over the period 2011–2024. The research framework integrates GRDP and tourist arrivals as the two primary engines shaping PAD. GRDP serves as an indicator of rising household and government consumption, while high tourist arrivals act as a multiplier effect expected to drive PAD growth in Makassar City. Employing multiple linear regression with 14 years of time-series data, the study tests the significance of GRDP and tourist arrivals as independent variables on PAD as the dependent variable. The analysis reveals that the model with two independent variables yields R² = 0.954 and F-statistic = 115.192 (p < 0.001), indicating the model is highly statistically significant. GRDP demonstrates a dominant effect with an unstandardized coefficient β = 0.013 (p < 0.001) and standardized β = 0.908, whereas tourist arrivals exhibit a secondary influence with an unstandardized coefficient β = 0.074 (p = 0.003) and standardized β = 0.244. The findings confirm that these two economic sectors, GRDP and the number of tourist arrivals, are the main drivers of PAD growth in Makassar City. Policy implications underscore the importance of sustainably developing economic growth and tourism as the foundation for regional revenue expansion, while optimizing the tourism sector's potential as a less volatile supplementary growth source.
References
Alifa, Z. N., & Nasir, M. S. (2024). Analisis Pengaruh PDRB, Belanja Daerah, Jumlah Wisatawan , dan Jumlah Objek Wisata Terhadap Pendapatan Asli Daerah di Provinsi Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta Tahun 2016 -2022. Jurnal Penelitian Imu-Ilmu Sosial, 11(1), 257–262. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11542666
Arifin, Z. (2022). The Influence Of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GDRP ) And Regional Spending On Regional Original Income Period 2010 - 2019 In Dki Jakarta Province. Monas: Jurnal Inovasi Aparatur, 4(1), 397–405. https://doi.org/10.54849/monas.v4i1.95
Babu, M. A. (2023). Pengaruh sektor pariwisata terhadap pendapatan asli daerah Kabupaten Alor. Jurnal Pringgitan, 1(3), 112–128. http://dx.doi.org/10.47256/prg.v4i1.232
Runtunuwu, P. C. H., & Husen, A. (2021). Leading Sector Analysis In Improving Economic Growth. Economica: Journal of Economic and Economic Education, 9(2), 182-197. https://doi.org/10.22202/economica.2021.v9.i2.4547
Damanik, M. R., Rusli, Manik, R. L., & Khadafi, M. (2025). Metode penelitian kuantitatif: Konsep, jenis, tahapan dan kelebihan. JIIC: Jurnal Intelek Insan Cendikia, 2(7), 13479–13496. https://jicnusantara.com/index.php/jiic/article/view/4384
Fathurrahman, Safitri, J., Munizu, M., & Nasir. (2024). Strategy for Optimizing Regional Original Income ( PAD ) Through Innovation and Collaboration in Central Lombok Regency. Jurnal Bina Praja, 16(2), 347–359. https://doi.org/10.21787/jbp.16.2024.347-359
Hasanah, M., & Fadly, F. (2019). Pengaruh Pariwisata Terhadap PDRB Tanpa Migas di Pulau Sumatera Menggunakan Metode Regresi Data Panel. Jurnal Sains Matematika dan Statistika, 5(2), 51–60. https://ejournal.uin-suska.ac.id/index.php/JSMS/article/view/7635
Imansyah, H., & Sambodo, B. (2023). Pengaruh Produk Domestik Regional Bruto, Jumlah Penduduk, Dan Jumlah Wisatawan Nusantara Terhadap Pendapatan Asli Daerah. ULIL ALBAB: Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin, 3(9), 196-204. https://doi.org/10.56799/jim.v3i9.4917
Kristiana, Y., Pramono, R., Nathalia, T. C., & Goeltom, V. A. H. (2020). Tourism and Original Local Government Revenue in Indonesia Tourism Provinces : The Java Island Experience. Systematic Reviews in Pharmacy, 11(9), 745–750. http://www.sysrevpharm.org/?mno=18371
Monoarfa, M., Olilingo, F. Z., & Santoso, I. R. (2022). Analysis Of The Effect Of Entertainment Tax, Hotel Tax And Restaurant Tax On Regional Original Income (PAD) In Gorontalo City 2014-2018. European Journal of Research Development and Sustainabilit, 3(1), 84–87. https://scholarzest.com/index.php/ejrds/article/view/1758
Mudji, A., & Taripar, W. (2018). Analisa Produk Domestik Bruto (PDRB) Kota Malang. Jurnal Pangripta, 2(5), 89–112. https://doi.org/10.58411/1mkxfv80
Nisa, Zulfatun & Bahari, F. (2022). Effect of Regional Tax, Population, and GRDP on Original Local Government Revenue (PAD) in the Regency/ City of Central Java. Jurnal Samudra Ekonomi dan Bisnis, 13(28). https://doi.org/10.33059/jseb.v13i1.2220
Nurhayati, N. (2017). Analisis Pengaruh PDRB Terhadap Peningkatan Penerimaan Sumber-Sumber Pendapatan Asli Daerah (PAD) Di Kabupaten Merangin. Jurnal Dinamika Manajemen, 5(4), 167–176. https://online-journal.unja.ac.id/jmbp/article/view/43187
Patendeng, Y. E., Maramis, M. T. B., & Mandeij, D. 2025). Analisis Pengaruh Sektor Pariwisata Terhadap Pendapatan Asli Daerah (Studi Pada Kabupaten Toraja Utara Tahun 2009-2023). Jurnal Berkala Ilmiah Efisiensi, 25(1), 25–37. https://ejournal.unsrat.ac.id/v3/index.php/jbie/article/view/61145
Putra, A., & Mahiswara, A. (2024). Exploring the Impact of Land and Building Tax (PBB) on Original Regional Income (PAD): A Study in Regional Economics and Fiscal Governance. Indonesia Accounting Research Journal, 11(3), 138–149. https://journals.iarn.or.id/index.php/Accounting/article/view/252
Saputra, R., & Zulkifli, Z. (2018). Pengaruh Jumlah Wisatawan, Jumlah Obyek Wisata, Dan Retribusi Obyek Wisata Terhadap Pendapatan Asli Daerah Di Kabupaten Gunung Kidul Tahun 2012-2016.
Shvets, N., Shevtsova, H., Pidorycheva, I., Prokopenko, O., & Maslosh, O. (2023). Sustainable development of agriculture based on the smart specialisation approach: cases of the Central and Eastern European countries. Agricultural and Resource Economics: International Scientific E-Journal, 9(1), 260–282. https://doi.org/10.51599/are.2023.09.01.12
Sundawan, H. P., & Laksmi, A. C. (2024). Determinants Analysis of Original Local Government Revenue in the Tourism Sector of the Special Regional of Yogyakarta. Nominal: Barometer Riset Akuntansi dan Manajemen, 13(1), 118–130. https://doi.org/10.21831/nominal.v13i1.71430
Wardhono, A., Indrawati, Y., Qoriah, C. G., & Nasir, M. A. (2019). Analisis Data Time Series dalam Model Makroekonomi. Pustaka Abadi.
Zamzami, Faiz & Rakhman, F. (2023). Determinants of Local Government Financial Performance in Indonesia. Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, 12(5), 332–347. https://doi.org/10.36941/ajis-2023-0148
Copyright (c) 2026 Airul Syahrif, Selly Kudrati Ningsih
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (Refer to The Effect of Open Access).
